Stay Ahead of the Market with Expert Insights
Get the latest trends, data, and expert analysis on Arizona’s commercial and residential real estate markets.
Commercial Real Estate Trends
Industrial Sector
Phoenix Leads Nationally: In Q4 2024, Phoenix ranked first among U.S. industrial markets, delivering 7.16 million square feet of industrial space, representing a 1.88% expansion of its industrial stock. The city also led the nation with 22.3 million square feet under development, projecting a 5.8% inventory growth. AZ Big Media
Investment Surge: Investment sales volume in Phoenix’s industrial sector reached $1.88 billion in Q4 2024, culminating in a total of $4.27 billion for the year, marking the highest level since 2021. Colliers
Retail Sector
Robust Performance: As of 2024, Phoenix’s retail market encompassed 249 million square feet across over 17,000 properties, with an average vacancy rate of 4.9%. Properties over 10,000 square feet had an average rent just under $26/SF/NNN and a vacancy rate of 6.7%. realestatedaily-news.com
Office Space
Adaptive Reuse Projects: In response to evolving market demands, underutilized office spaces in Phoenix are being converted into residential units. For example, the Canyon Corporate Center, a 312,000-square-foot office park, is slated for transformation into several hundred apartment units, addressing the city’s housing shortage. Axios
Residential Real Estate Trends
Home Prices and Sales
Modest Price Increase: As of August 2024, Arizona’s median home price was $442,900, reflecting a 1.3% year-over-year increase. noradarealestate.com
Sales Activity: The number of homes sold decreased by 7.9%, indicating a potential slowdown in buyer activity. noradarealestate.com+1Redfin+1
Inventory Levels
Rising Supply: There were 36,992 homes for sale, a 26% increase compared to the previous year, suggesting a shift towards a more balanced market. noradarealestate.com
Regional Highlights
Eloy and Midtown Phoenix: These areas experienced significant median sales price gains in 2024, with Eloy leading at a 21.5% increase and Midtown Phoenix at 19.2%. AZ Big Media+1Houzeo+1
Short-Term Rental (STR) Market Trends
Market Growth
Positive Outlook: The Arizona short-term rental industry is projected to experience an overall growth rate of 5-7%, with the market stabilizing as supply plateaus and demand remains steady. Short Term Rental Manager
Regulatory Environment
Evolving Legislation: Arizona’s legal framework for short-term rentals has seen significant shifts, with legislation such as Senate Bill 1350 easing constraints on vacation rental regulations. However, new legislative propositions aim to grant cities enhanced regulatory authority over short-term rentals, making it imperative for investors and property owners to stay informed. Gottlieb Law
Impact on Housing Supply
Housing Shortage Concerns: The proliferation of short-term rentals has raised concerns about exacerbating Arizona’s housing shortage, as residential homes are increasingly used as vacation properties, reducing the availability of long-term housing options.
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